Are these equivalent (for p-values): super-uniform, stochastically larger than / dominating the uniform, conservative?
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1. Restating the question in plain language
A student has seen three different expressions that seem to describe the same idea about p‑values
| phrase used in the literature | informal meaning |
|---|---|
| “stochastically larger than (or dominating) a Uniform(0, 1) variable” | the random p‑value U satisfies (P(U\le t)\le t) for every (t\in[0,1]). |
| “super‑uniform” | the same inequality is written as “the CDF of the p‑value is everywhere below the CDF of a Uniform(0, 1)”. |
| “conservative p‑value” (or “conservative test”) | under the null hypothesis the p‑value’s distribution is at least as “large” as a Uniform(0, 1); i.e. it is super‑uniform. |
The question is: Are these three expressions mathematically equivalent? If not, what are the precise relationships among them?
2. Detailed answer – step‑by‑step
2.1. Basic definitions
-
Uniform(0, 1) distribution
[ U\sim\mathsf{Unif}(0,1),\qquad F_U(t)=P(U\le t)=\begin{cases} 0,&t<0\[2pt] t,&0\le t\le 1\[2pt] 1,&t>1 . \end{cases} ] -
First‑order stochastic dominance (FSD)
For two random variables (X) and (Y) we write (X\;\succeq_{\text{FSD}}\;Y) (or “(X) dominates (Y)”) if
[ P(X\le t)\;\le\; P(Y\le t)\qquad\text{for every }t\in\mathbb R . ] Equivalently, (P(X\ge t)\ge P(Y\ge t)) for all (t). -
Super‑uniform random variable
A random variable (P) taking values in ([0,1]) is called super‑uniform if
[ F_P(t)=P(P\le t)\le t\qquad\forall\,t\in[0,1]. ] (The inequality is strict for at least one (t) when the distribution is strictly super‑uniform.) -
Conservative p‑value / conservative test
In hypothesis testing, a test that, under the null hypothesis (H_0), produces a p‑value (P) satisfying
[ P(P\le \alpha\mid H_0)\;\le\;\alpha\qquad\forall\,\alpha\in[0,1] ] is called conservative (or the p‑value is conservative). The condition is exactly the super‑uniform condition applied to the null distribution of the p‑value.
2.2. Showing the equivalence
| Concept | Formal condition | Relation to Uniform(0, 1) |
|---|---|---|
| “Stochastically larger than Uniform(0, 1)” | (F_P(t)\le F_U(t)=t) for all (t\in[0,1]) | By definition, (P) first‑order dominates the uniform. |
| “Super‑uniform” | Same inequality (F_P(t)\le t) for all (t\in[0,1]) | Identical to the stochastic‑dominance condition. |
| “Conservative p‑value (under (H_0))” | (P(P\le\alpha\mid H_0)\le\alpha\;\forall\alpha) | This is precisely the super‑uniform condition applied to the null distribution of the p‑value. |
Thus, for a random variable that lives on ([0,1]):
[ \boxed{\;P\text{ is super‑uniform } \Longleftrightarrow P\;\text{s.t. } P\;\succeq_{\text{FSD}}\;U(0,1)\;\Longleftrightarrow\; \text{p‑value is conservative under }H_0\;} ]
The three phrases refer to the same mathematical property.
The only practical distinction is context:
- “Stochastically larger than Uniform” is a generic probability‑theory phrasing.
- “Super‑uniform” is the term most often used in the multiple‑testing literature (e.g., Benjamini & Hochberg 1995; Storey 2002).
- “Conservative p‑value” is a testing‑theory phrase: it says that the test yields a p‑value whose null distribution satisfies the super‑uniform property.
2.3. Supporting references
| Source | How it defines the concept |
|---|---|
| Lehmann & Romano (2005), Testing Statistical Hypotheses, §2.2 | “A p‑value is super‑uniform if under (H_0) its CDF is bounded above by the identity on ([0,1]).” |
| Benjamini & Hochberg (1995) | Introduce the “null p‑values are independent and uniformly distributed” assumption and later note that the results hold when they are super‑uniform (i.e., conservative). |
| Storey (2002), “A direct approach to false discovery rates” | Uses the term “super‑uniform” for the null p‑value distribution. |
| Shaked & Shanthikumar (2007), Stochastic Orders | Define first‑order stochastic dominance; when the dominating variable is Uniform(0, 1) we obtain the super‑uniform condition. |
| Wikipedia – Stochastic dominance | Gives the FSD definition; substituting (B=U(0,1)) yields the same inequality as super‑uniform. |
3. Final answer
Yes.
- A random variable (P) is super‑uniform iff its CDF satisfies (F_P(t)\le t) for all (t\in[0,1]).
- This inequality is exactly the statement that (P) first‑order stochastically dominates a Uniform(0, 1) random variable (i.e., is “stochastically larger than uniform”).
- In hypothesis‑testing terminology, a test whose null‑distribution p‑values satisfy the same inequality is called conservative; therefore a conservative p‑value is a super‑uniform random variable.
Hence the three expressions are mathematically equivalent; the differences lie only in the terminology used by different research communities.
4. Common mistakes
| Mistake | Why it’s wrong | How to avoid it |
|---|---|---|
| Confusing “larger” with “larger CDF”. | “Stochastically larger” means larger in the sense of first‑order dominance (i.e., smaller CDF), not that the random variable takes larger numeric values. | Remember the definition: (X\succcurlyeq_{\text{FSD}}Y) ⇔ (F_X(t)\le F_Y(t)) for all (t). |
| Thinking a super‑uniform p‑value must be exactly Uniform. | Super‑uniform only requires the CDF to be below the uniform CDF; it can be strictly lower (e.g., a point mass at 0.9). | Write the inequality (F_P(t)\le t); equality need not hold everywhere. |
| Using the term “conservative” for any test with size ≤ α. | “Conservative” in the p‑value sense specifically refers to the distribution of the p‑value under the null, not just the overall type‑I error rate. | Distinguish between “conservative test (type‑I error ≤ α)” and “conservative p‑value (super‑uniform)”. |
| Applying the definitions outside ([0,1]). | The super‑uniform condition is only meaningful for variables supported on ([0,1]). | Verify the support before invoking the equivalence. |
| Assuming strict inequality is required. | “Super‑uniform” (or stochastic dominance) allows equality everywhere (the Uniform case). Strict inequality for some (t) is only needed to talk about strict dominance. | State clearly whether you need “strictly super‑uniform” (i.e., truly conservative) or “weakly super‑uniform” (includes the exact uniform). |
Original question: Are these equivalent (for p-values): super-uniform, stochastically larger than / dominating the uniform, conservative? on Cross Validated (Stats Stack Exchange), licensed CC BY-SA.